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Ian Pollard – Polypipe #POLY Breaks More Records

Polypipe Group plc PLP  delighted to report another record performance and claims significant strategic progress for 2018 together with a continued focus on organic growth ahead of the market. Revenue rose by 5.2%, profit before tax by 4.7% and underlying basic earnings per share by 4.4% The dividend is to be increased by 4.5% and the balance sheet is robust.

Learning Technologies Group plc LTG   Profit came in ahead of expectations for the year to the 31st December, with  EBIT up by 104% to £27.2m. Revenue rose by 83% with half of it coming from the US. and the full year dividend is to be increased by 67%. In the five years since the company was listed on the London Stock Exchange  a compound annual growth rate of 48% in adjusted diluted EPS has been achieved. A good start has been made to 2019.

EasyJet EZY has abandoned talks to join to join the consortium which would have bid for Alitalia although it said at the time that it was not certain that a bid for Alitalia would materialise. The Italian government has now given Delta Airlines and the Italian State Railway, the two remaining members of the consortium, until the end of this month to come up with a rescue plan for AlItalia.

Softcat plc SCT produced a very strong performance over the six months to the 31st January characterised by additional market share gains and a 36.4% rise for the shareholders, in the interim dividend. Revenue for the half year rose by 21%, diluted earnings per share by 40,8% and gross profit by 26.5% The company is debt free and has a cash balance of £52.8m. It is anticipated that the outcome for the full year will be marginally ahead of previous expectations.

Bonmarche Holdings BON the main aim of Bonmarche during the winter “sale” period covering January and February 2019, was to recover from the third quarter sales experience which was below expectations and in that it has succeeded. Autumn/winter season stock levels are now 40% lower than at this time last year but that has only been achieved at the cost of heavy discounting. And now things have got worse. Trading since the beginning of March has become significantly weaker, reversing sales gains which had been made in the previous months.It is now anticipating that the  the underlying  loss for the year will be far greater than the anticipated £4.0m. and current estimates are that it will rise to between £5.0m and £6.0m.

ASOS plc ASC for the 3 months to the end of February total retail sales rose by 11%, The UK outperformed  with growth of 14% and France and Germany both proved to be challenging. For 2019 unchanged sales growth of 15% is expected.

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Ian Pollard – Clarkson #CKN Challenged By Headwinds

Clarkson plc CKN   Despite a challenging start to the year Clarkson produced a robust performance for the year to the end of December.Underlying profit before tax fell by 10% and earnings per share declined from 116p to 105p.The CEO is happy with this as it enables the dividend to be increased by 3% making it  the16th consecutive year of increased dividends. Headwinds are having their impact in the form of political uncertainty and natural disasters but these are expected to diminish as the year passes.

Polymetal International POLY  Preliminaries to the 31st December showed that 2018 was a year of strong operating and financial results,with revenue rising by 4% and gold sales up by 10$. Adjusted EBITDA was up by 5%, although average realised gold and silver prices both fell. A final dividend of US$ .31 is proposed. The dividend declared during the period has risen by 47% from last years 32 cents to the current 47 cents.

Xaar plc XAR updates that underlying trading results for the year to 31 December 2018 are in line with previous expectations and delays in ramp up of new product volumes in China have resulted in an unfavourable aging profile of working capital.   Provisions are therefore being taken on the basis of prudency.

Silence Therapeutics plc SRN updates that 2018 was a defining year for the company, with transformational change throughout the business. With the approval by the FDA of the first RNAi therapeutics, a new class of medicines has effectively been created. In-human clinical trials are due to commence later in 2019 to demonstrate both safety and tolerability. The interim Chair of Silence describes it as being at the cutting edge of an extremely promising new class of therapeutics.

Driver Group plc DRV reports that  the cumulative trading result is now behind the Board’s expectations for the current period due to a slowing in the speed of client conversion, in particular in the Middle East and south-east Asian markets. The cumulative trading result is now behind the Board’s expectations for the current period and the shortfall is unlikely to be recovered in the second half. Full year underlying profits before taxation are now expected to be slightly below the 2017/18 result at approximately £3.5m.

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VectorVest MD Dr David Paul asks whether the 2018 year end rally has started?

Dr David Paul of VectorVest asks whether the 2018 year end rally has started? Interview with Nick ‘Moose’ Batsford at Core Finance TV. Stocks covered include Mellanox Technology $MLNX, Polymetal #POLY, Randgold Resources #RRS & Griffin Mining #GFM.

Ian Pollard – Clarkson Sees Recovery In Shipping

Clarkson plc CKN 2017 became the 15th consecutive year of dividend increases after a strong performance showed signs of recovery in shipping markets.Underlying profit before tax rose by 12% with a matching increase in the final dividend whilst earnings per share were up by 11%.

Melrose Industries MRO has made an increased and final offer of 467p per share for GKN which is still refusing all attempts to engage it in constructive discussions, despite the offer representing an attractive and immediate premium of 43%. The deadline for acceptances is 1pm on Thursday the 29th March. Melrose claims that the offer will not be increased under any circumstances.

Polymetal POLY announces a strong operational performance for 2017, with robust earnings and a proposal to recommend a final dividend of $30cents per share in accordance with its revised dividend policy.Revenue for the year to 31st December rose by 15%, gold production increased by 21% but silver fell by 8%. Prices for both metals remained largely unchanged from 2016.

eve Sleep plc EVE  Revenue grew by 132% for the year to 31st December which was its third year of operations and gross profit was up by 175%. On a statutory basis the loss before tax jumped from 11.3m to 19.1m. The new year has started strongly and sales in the first 6 weeks of 2018 rose by 94% compared to he same period last year.

 

 

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Spectra Systems – To Significantly Exceed Expectations

Spectra Systems SPSY has been notified by its authentication technology licensee that royalties in 2017 will reach a record level to the extent that profits for the year to 31st December will significantly exceed market expectations. For 2018 it is expected that royalties will continue to be higher than average.

Bioventix BVXP is increasing its second interim dividend from 26p to 31p as well as paying a special dividend of 40p per share. after announcing what it describes as yet another set of excellent results for the year to the 30th June. Revenue for the year rose by 31% and profit after tax by 40%

System 1 Group plc SYS1 Trading for the six months to the 30th September has been slower than expected and in constant currency terms, gross profit is expected to show a 12% decline over the previous year. The company remains cautious about prospects because of what it describes as”our usual lack of revenue visibility”.

ConvaTec Group CTEC Organic revenue growth for the full year will be lower than expected after quarter 3 was severely impacted by a number of issues, including supply problems and lower than anticipated revenue from new products. The implications of growth on margins for 2018 are being reviewed. Third quarter like for like group revenue rose by 3.3% but it is now expected that full year organic revenue growth will be down to between 1% and 2%.

Polymetal Int. plc POLY enjoyed a robust third quarter with gold sales rising by 50% and gold output up by 38%. Total sales for the 3 months to the 30th September rose by 17% and gold equivalent production rose to record levels with a 26% increase over the previous year.

Physiomics PYC suffered from a 9% decline in total income for the year to the 30th June and losses for the year rose by 6%, resulting in the company’s cash position becoming constrained until a deal with a major client can be finalised. Active cost control measures have been put in place.

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Bunzl – 24 years of Dividend Growth

Bunzl plc BNZL is increasing its interim dividend by 8% giving it a 24 year track record of dividend growth. Revenue for the half year to 30th June rose by 7%, adjusted profit before tax  by 5% and adjusted earnings per share by 7%, all at constant exchange rates. Like for like revenue growth increased to 3.7%. Eleven acquisitions have been announced so far during the current year.

Real Good Food plc RGF announced at the beginning of the month that it expected EBITDA for the year to the end of March 2017 would be some £2m. Since then the new Finance Director has carried out a review which indicates that it is now expected to be only  about half that, at £1m. The Board is now in discussion with its bankers with a view to varying some of the conditions of its banking facility.

Polymetal International POLY First half revenue rose by 17% and gold sales were up by 19%, although silver sales were down 5%.Cash costs fell by 28% due largely to the strength of the Russian rouble. An interim dividend of US$ 014 is being proposed compared to last years US$0.09

Image Scan Holdings IGE announced last month rapid growth in orders across a broad range of its products. Sales for the year to the end of September are now expected to reach £4.5m. with profit before tax of £250,000

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