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Alan Green covers Botswana Diamonds #BODS & Tertiary Minerals #TYM on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

Alan Green covers Botswana Diamonds #BODS & Tertiary Minerals #TYM on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

UK Investor Magazine podcast – Alan Green discusses markets, Whitbread #WTB, Kavango Resources #KAV & Sovereign Metals #SVML

Equities outlook, Whitbread, and Kavango Resources with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the UK Investor Magazine as we delve into the recent market volatility and explore the outlook for equity markets.

We start by looking at upcoming central bank action with the Federal Reserve and Bank of England poised to hike rates in the coming hours and days. Market expectations point to a 75 bps jump in US rates as the Federal Reserve meets this evening. Our focus shifts to the market perceptions of the tightening cycle and whether investors will take confidence from a ‘managed’ recession caused by rising rates, but allows for plenty of future easing with rates around 2%.

Whitbread have been a major beneficiary of the economic reopening and enjoyed a 300% year-on-year increase in sales, helping shares rise 5% on the day.

Kavango Resources is developing a series of projects in Botswana including the Kalahari Copper Belt and Ditau Camp project. We look at their recent updates and relationship with Power Metal Resources who are set to present at the UK Investor Magazine Summer Investor Evening 30th June.

Register for the UK Investor Magazine Summer Investor Evening here

Sovereign Metals are preparing to release an updated scoping study and we recap the key milestones to date and the significance of their Kasiya Titanium Rutile & Graphite project in Malawi.

Power Metal Resources #POW – Paul Johnson talks to Alan Green

In a very frank interview, Paul Johnson discusses the challenges facing the junior resource sector in the markets at present, while reminding us that behind the scenes there is a solid and fast growing business operated by a dedicated team. Paul then updates on the latest developments at the company’s portfolio of projects around the globe, before running through the upcoming IPO’s for Golden Metal Resources, FDR and FCM, and planned IPOs for other projects. We finish with a summary of upcoming milestones for investors to watch out for, ending with a personal message from Paul to all shareholders.

Alan Green covers Cobra Resources #COBR & Open Orphan #ORPH on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

Alan Green covers Cobra Resources #COBR & Open Orphan #ORPH on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

ECR Minerals #ECR – Technical Director Adam Jones Updates on Bumper Grades in Hole 34

Technical Director Adam Jones discusses the bumper gold grades in hole BH3DD034 at HR3, Bailieston. Adam talks through the gold grades discovered at different levels in zones 1-4, and outlines his conclusions for the collective data picture across the Maori Reef and Hard Up Reef. Alan asks whether there is a case for developing a mine on ECR’s land at Nagambie-Rushworth, and Adam discusses the the likely activities across the region. We then look at further developments at Creswick, technical target follow-ups and soil samples, before Adam outlines upcoming activities over the next few months, including drill rig movements, Blue Moon etc.

Alan Green covers Greatland Gold #GGP & Blencowe Resources #BRES on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

 

Alan Green covers Greatland Gold #GGP & Blencowe Resources #BRES on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

Alan Green covers Pembridge Resources #PERE & Sovereign Metals #SVML on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

Alan Green covers Pembridge Resources #PERE & Sovereign Metals #SVML on this week’s Stockbox Research Talks

ECR Minerals #ECR – Adam Jones talks to Alan Green

ECR Minerals #ECR interview – Adam Jones talks to Alan Green. We discuss Adam’s site visit to Bailieston and Creswick with new CEO Andrew Haythorpe, before looking at plans to get boots on the ground at the recently awarded Lolworth Range license areas in N Queensland. Adam then discusses the latest developments at Creswick, including recently released LIDAR imagery, and we then look at the recent gold intercepts and developments through drilling at Bailieston, HR3 and the Maori Anticline. Adam talks through the correlation between stibnite and gold, before summarising upcoming developments and delayed assay results.

Research Talks Special Live from the UK Investor Show in London

In a research talks special streamed from the The UK Investor Show Alan Green and Mark Fairbairn discuss MetalNRG Plc #MNRG Kavango Resources PLC #KAV Technology Minerals #TM1 and the sum of the parts valuation case for Power Metal Resources #POW

#research #gold #copper #nickel #investor #RareEarth #circulareconomy #batteryrecycling #BatteryMetals #mining #exploration #mineralexploration Rolf A Gerritsen Ben Turney Brett Grist Robin Brundle Alex Stanbury Emily Steward Harry Chathli John Bick Paul Johnson Tristan Pottas Oliver Friesen

‘Crypto and Black Gold – Higher the Risk, Higher the Reward’

By Arjun Thakkar and Alan Green

Bitcoin worth more than $200bn was wiped off the crypto market on 12th of May. The crash in the BTC price accompanied a generally volatile and uncertain stock market that has seen the Dow Jones and FTSE100 down by 12.7% and 3.7% respectively from the start of the year. The core principle of the markets has always been higher the risk, higher the reward, but the current downward spiral seems to be driven by a perfect storm of events. Is this therefore the end of a bullish run for assets and the risk is too high now for any reward, or are we just seeing a major correction?

The key uncertainty spooking the markets are the high inflation rates. These are being driven by a number of factors, including supply chain problems from China, the Russia-Ukraine war and consequential 25% hike in the price of wheat. Interest rate hikes from the Fed and BoE are pushing borrowing costs higher and driving a sell-off in markets and crypto.

In these uncertain markets investors look for safe investments and the increase in interest rates in 2022 by 0.5% and 0.75% by the BoE and Fed respectively have made cash savings more attractive, leading to a massive sell off in stocks. Added to this, the hitherto stellar performances from crypto assets such as BTC and ETH have prompted well-heeled crypto investors to take their money off the table,  further driving the down turn in crypto market valuations.

Supply chain issues continue to act as a drag. China accounts for around 13% of the global trade, and China’s zero tolerance approach towards Covid has led to a lockdown in the country, which has partly resulted in huge levels of shipping congestion near the Chinese ports. Companies such as Tesla have lost about a month of work because of the Shanghai lockdown, and some other companies claim that an “abnormally high” level of inventory was in transit, unavailable or held at ports, sending the stock market into a frenzy. (Bloomberg, 2022)

 

Image: World Bank

Along with the supply chain crisis, the Russia-Ukraine war has played a significant part in the fortunes of both stock and crypto markets. Russia previously supplied the European continent with 40% of its natural gas and 25% of its oil. The subsequent sanctions and ban on Russian imports sent the price of oil soaring to $109/barrel, driving inflation, and while some of the oil majors and smaller listed oilco’s are now trading at multi year highs, the uncertainty has weighed heavily on the markets.

The impact of higher oil prices has also impacted positively on companies at the junior end of the market. Echo Energy (AIM: ECHO) which has a license portfolio of 12 producing oil and gas fields with infrastructure in Santa Cruz Sur region of Argentina, found itself in the midst of this global demand for oil. Since the start of the Russia-Ukraine war (24th February 2022), Echo Energy shares have risen by 13.1% and at one point (22nd April) had returned its investors a 47% share price increase since the start of the war.

 

Source: Echo Energy

Whatever phrase you might use to describe it – end of bull run or correction – bitcoin has fallen to its lowest levels in years – $29,000. A number of factors can be attributed, but one key driver has been the collapse of so called stable coin terraUSD (UST), which as a supposedly stable asset, fell from a high of $118 (£96) to $0.4, rocking the crypto currency markets and having a knock-on effect on other stablecoins. The companies behind stablecoins try to ensure they remain in parity with assets such as the US dollar, so one token will equal $1. The collapse of a stablecoin has fundamentally weakened crypto assets for the present, but despite this, after touching $29,000, BTC rocketed 7.6% to $31,200 in one day, demonstrating that there is a chance for brave traders to turn a profit during these volatile times.

This volatility also boosted cryptocurrency transaction volumes on platforms like Binance and Hotcoin Global, which on 11th May 2022 saw 24hr trading volumes of $27.44bn and $10.27bn respectively, generating spectacular platform commission in the process.

There has also been a consequential read over for listed blockchain and crypto companies such as dual listed Coinsilium (AQX: COIN, OTCQB: CINGF), which is a blockchain, open finance, and crypto finance venture builder. Coinsilium shares fell to $0.025 on May 12th, but the next day shares rocketed to $0.039, providing a 24hr return of 56%. The drop in price for # Coinsilium can be attributed to systematic (market) risk and macro-economic factors such as inflation and the collapse in stable coin terraUSD.

 

 

While cryptocurrency continues to fluctuate, of course share price performance can be driven by stock specific issues in addition to macro factors. In the case of Coinsilium, in addition to a substantial amount of cash reserves held in crypto currency, the company is growing through its strong fundamentals and most recently a positive response to its recent seed investment in Yellow Network, the first broker clearing network for cryptocurrency exchanges, brokers and trading institutions. Yellow Network assists and develops mesh networks of crypto brokers and traders to execute ultra-high speed trading via decentralised exchanges. With such high volatility and huge transaction volumes in the crypto markets, Coinsilium’s Yellow Network investment could see it benefit from substantial, volume based commission revenues in the future.

What both Echo Energy and Coinsilium fundamentals demonstrate here, is that despite the market turmoil and highly uncertain outlook, they both depict the core principle of the markets – ‘higher the risk, higher the reward.

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