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Pure Circle recovering from US Customs Debacle

Image result for pure circle logoPure Circle PURE Final results for the year to the 30th June were severely affected by it being denied access to the US market where it had been producing a third of its revenue, after it was made subject to a Withold Release Order by US Customs & Border Protection. Extensive investigations resulted in it being removed from that list but not until the 30th January and although sales to the US have now resumed, it will take time for it to rebuild the previous momentum which it had acquired in the US market. Operating profit fell by nearly half to US$17.6m. and earnings per share were also halved from 8.49 to 4.16 cents per share. The company claims it has a unique market position with 72 patents granted and a further 200 pending.

OCADO Group OCDO Revenue in the 13 weeks to 27th August continued to grow strongly with an increase of 13.1%, significantly ahead of the industry average. Orders per week increased by 16% but the average order size fell by 1.2%.

Image result for judges scientific logoJudges Scientific JDG has made a robust recovery from a year ago with interim results to the 30th June showing new records being set for revenue, profit before tax, earnings per share and dividends. Revenue rose by 20%, (14% on a like for like basis), adjusted pre tax profit by 48%. and basic earnings per share by 65.1%. The interim dividend is being increased by 11% to 10p per share.

Swallowfield plc SWL reports another very strong performance and excellent progress in the  year to the 24th June with the final dividend being increased by over 50% to 3.5p per share making a total increase for the year of 68%. Helped by the weakness of sterling and acquisitions revenue grew by 36% or 8% excluding acquisitions. On a constant currency basis the figures were 31% and 2% respectively.

Augean AUG Despite a 14.4% rise in revenue for the six months to the 30th June, adjusted profit before tax fell by 7.2% and adjusted earnings per share by 7.4%, following losses in its Industry and Infrastructure businesses which it describes as legacy issues from Colt. To add to its mixed fortunes waste disposed of by its Energy and Construction business declined by 23.7%.

Image result for keyword studios logoKeyword Studios KWS delivered another strong set of results for the half year to the 30th June and the interim dividend is being raised by 10%. Like for like revenue rose by 17% and adjusted profit before tax and earnings per share by 60% and 55% respectively.

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Brand CEO Alan Green talks Angus Energy (ANGS), Feedback (FDBK), Advanced Onco (AVO) & Swallowfield (SWL) on the VOX Markets podcast

Brand CEO Alan Green talks Angus Energy (ANGS), Feedback (FDBK), Advanced Onco (AVO) & Swallowfield (SWL) with Justin Waite on the VOX Markets podcast. Interview starts at 46 minutes 20 seconds.

Swallowfield (SWL) – Shares offer a special growth opportunity, says VectorVest

Swallowfield (SWL.L) is a UK-based company, which is engaged in the development, formulation and supply of personal care and beauty products across other European Union countries and rest of the world. The Company offers its products in various product types, such as personal care aerosols, hot pour, premium liquids/tubes/roll-ons, fragrance and gifting, and color cosmetics and pencils. The Company’s manufacturing, filling and aerosol packaging capabilities include traditional system in tin-plate or aluminium cans. Swallowfield offers its products in various brands, and offers a range of services, such as project management, sourcing, manufacturing and logistics.

On November 10th 2016, Swallowfield published an AGM statement, and said that trading in the first four months of the year had been in line with expectations. The group said it expects that significant new product launches for major brand owners will contribute strongly to group performance, particularly in the first half of the fiscal year. Further contract wins were achieved in the UK and Europe, which will start to contribute from the beginning of the next financial year. Management anticipates that profitability in the first half will also see a small benefit from Sterling weakness. Long-term the group expects to maintain the positive momentum and are confident in the prospects for the year. Aside from the strong trading update, SWL’s Real Shaving Company brand “sensitive shave gel” won best new product at the prestigious GQ grooming awards. Interim results are due late February, early March 2017.

The potential upside in SWL had been flagged up across several key metrics across the VectorVest stock analysis and portfolio management system when the stock fell in value during October 2016. Despite the recovery since then, in the view of VectorVest the value in the company still has yet to be recognised. The VST-Vector (VST) is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database, and is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of Relative Value, Relative Safety, and Relative Timing. SWL has a VST rating of 1.30, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. In terms of valuation, VectorVest currently values SWL at 439.07p per share, vs. the current price of 292.50p per share.

The chart of Swallowfield is shown above with the VectorVest valuation shown as the green line study above the price. Below the price window earnings per share (EPS) is charted and is growing strongly. Since the high in October 2016 the share has charted a “rounded bottom” or cup formation. This is a bullish pattern and when confirmed by a break of the 52 week high should see the share moving much higher. The technical target from the “measured move” and the VectorVest valuation are both around 450 which represents a potential (and highly probable) 50% move from yesterdays close.

The combination of a strong trading update, prestigious product awards and even the growing dividend yield marks out SWL has a special growth opportunity. Even with the shares trading at all time highs, there remains a significant valuation gap, which VectorVest believes will close in the run up to the upcoming interim results.

At present the trends on VectorVest are Down/Up. This means the short term trend is down while the longer term is positive. Our advice is to wait until the short term trend changes to Up before any action is taken.

Dr David Paul

January 25th 2017

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