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Andrew Hore – Quoted Micro 12 November 2018
NEX EXCHANGE
Crossword Cybersecurity (CCS) plans to raise up to £2.25m prior to a move to AIM at the end of this year. The cash will be invested in sales and marketing, product development and working capital.
Primorus Investments (PRIM) says that investee company Stream TV Networks has secured a deal with Beijing Optical and Electrical, which will use Stream’s 3D display technology in large flat TV and monitor screens. Primorus has invested £1.4m in Engage Technology, which has 75 corporate clients for its construction software and a further 17 that are contracted but not yet live. Revenues are growing more slowly than hoped. Engage is talking with partners and potential corporate investors.
Angelfish Investments (ANGP) is increasing its shareholding in YBOO from 20% to 35% for an investment of £400,000. A working capital loan of up to £1.5m with an annual interest charge of 10%.
Inqo Investments Ltd (INQO) reported an increase in interim revenues from R7.65m to R8.37m and the loss declined from R4.52m and R4.12m. At the end of August 2018, net cash was around R11.5m. The South Africa-based social impact investor generated the majority of its revenues from Kuzuko Lodge with a contribution from Bee Sweet Honey.
KR1 (KR1) says that its investee company Volt Ltd has raised $2m. KR1 has converted loan notes and has a 7.94% in institutional digital asset custodian Volt valued at $1.4m. The initial investment of £200,000 acquired a 5% stake in September 2017.
MetalNRG (MNRG) has completed the acquisition of the Gold Ridge project in Arizona from Winston Gold for £530,000. The final payment is funded by shares at 1.75p each. The project area includes three former producing mines. There is potential for the discovery of further gold mineralisation.
Auxico Resources Canada Inc (AUAG) has raised $315,000 at 20 cents a share. This cash will fund geological work and the evaluation of opportunities in Colombia.
Healthperm Resourcing Ltd (HPR) is changing its name to SG Recruitment Ltd.
AIM
Gresham House (GHE) is acquiring investment manager Livingbridge for an initial £30m. Up to £10m more could be payable depending on performance. This deal will help to widen the customer base and provide product development opportunities. The combined group will have assets under management of more than £2bn. A placing raised £11.7m at 448p a share. The deal is immediately earnings enhancing even before cost savings. Gresham House Energy Storage Fund has raised £100m and will invest £57.2m in a portfolio of energy storage assets in development.
Castleton Technology (CTP) increased interim revenues by one-fifth to £12.9m and there was a 5% improvement in earnings per share. finnCap forecasts an improvement in full year earnings per share from 5.2p to 5.9p. The provider of software and managed services plans to pay a maiden dividend for this financial year.
Transportation software and services provider Tracsis (TRCS) has reported figures in line with recently upgraded forecasts. In the year to July 2018, revenues improved from £34.5m to £39.8m, mainly organic growth, while pre-tax profit rose from £7.6m to £8.5m, helped by a one-fifth increase in software sales. There is £22m in the bank to finance further acquisitions.
AdEPT Technology (ADT) has acquired unified communication services provider ETS Communications for £2.5m less net debt at the end of October 2018. This deal will be immediately earnings enhancing. Thebank facility has been increased to £35m in order to fund further acquisitions.
International benefits insurance provider GBGI Ltd (GBGI) is recommending a $1.515 a share cash offer from Elm Bidco. This values GBGI at $131.8m (£101.6m). There has been modest growth in earnings per share since GBGI floated at 150p a share in February 2018. Adividend of 1.4 cents a share was paid in June.
Myanmar-focused social media platform operator MySQUAR Ltd (MYSQ) is investigating into the use of proceeds of two recent fundraisings. Approximately £900,000 was paid out of company funds to former directors and third parties. Staff are being made redundant and additional cash is required. Trading in the shares is suspended. The nominated adviser SP Angel and joint broker Daniel Stewart have resigned. Piers Pottinger has stepped down as a director.
Floorcoverings manufacturer Victoria (VCP) has reassured investors about trading and the share price has started to recover. Victoria is not issuing a bond to refinance its debt because the potential pricing was unfavourable. Invesco has increased its stake to 22.1% and The Spruce House Partnership has built up a 13.6% stake.
Estate agency Purplebricks (PURP) has grown interim revenues in the UK by one-fifth. Trading in Australia is tough, and it is still early days in the US. Net cash was more than £100m at the end of October 2018.
First Derivatives (FDP) increased its underlying interim pre-tax profit by 15% to £10.6m. The interim dividend was 10% higher at 7.7p a share. The software and consultancy company with the fastest growth coming from licences for Kx software.
URA Holdings (URA) has gained EIS approval for the funding for its proposed reverse takeover of personalised digital entertainment content provider Entertainment AI. Complexities of the deal have been solved and documentation is progressing. URA has until 20 December to complete a reverse takeover.
Interim revenues and pre-tax profit at Best of the Best (BOTB) will be better than expected and this has led to a full year pre-tax profit upgrade from £1.4m to £1.6m, which is the same as the year before. The online competitions operator will be hit by the increase in remote gaming duty from 15% to 21% from October 2019. This will mean that 2019-20 forecasts will have to be reassessed.
Polarean Imaging (POLX) says that its phase III non-inferiority clinical trial of its Xenon polariser is up and running. Enrolment should be completed in the second quarter of 2019. A new order has been received to upgrade the polariser at SickKids Hospital in Toronto.
Remote tracking technology developer Starcom (STAR) has signed a deal with a distributor in North Africa covering Helios Advanced and BIO CAN fuel sensors. This year’s group revenues are expected to improve from $5.4m to $5.9m. Starcom has raised £400,000 at 2p a share.
Broadcast software provider Pebble Beach Systems (PEB) has won two new contracts that will underpin forecasts for 2018 and 2019. The two orders have a total value of £2m.
Zoo Digital (ZOO) reported interims in line with expectations. Revenues were 17% ahead at $14.9m and the main growth has come from dubbing services. The loss was slightly higher at $159,000. A major subtitling customer will increase its demand in the second half. The full year, underlying pre-tax profit is forecast to improve from $500,000 to $1.8m.
Recruitment company Kellan Group (KLN) plans to cancel its AIM quotation and the general meeting vote already has backing from the owners of 70% of the shares. The shares are tightly held and liquidity is limited.
Fastjet (FJET) says that it can continue operating in November, but it will require more cash.
Crawshaw (CRAW) has called in administrators to itself and four subsidiaries. Thirty five stores have closed and 19 are still trading. Administrators have also been appointed to Flowgroup (FLOW) because it could not find a suitable acquisition.
MAIN MARKET
Path Investments (PATH) says it is not proceeding with the farm-in for the Alfeld-Elze II licence having failed to raise the cash it required and reach agreement on the transaction structure. The deal would have led to a move to AIM. Trading in the shares remains suspended.
Beauty and personal care products supplier InnovaDerma (IDP) expects interim revenues to be similar to last year, while full year revenues are expected to increase from £10.7m to £14.4m. finnCap forecasts a rise in pre-tax profit from £700,000 to £1.7m.
Consumer goods supplier UP Global Sourcing (UPGS) reported revenues for the year to July 2018 fell by one-fifth to £87.6m and underlying pre-tax profit decreased from £10.7m to £5.6m. The main decline was due to discount retailers seeking tougher terms and delayed sales to a European retailer. Online sales increased and this helped to maintain margins. Brands include Salter kitchenware and Constellation luggage. The Kleeneze brand is being relaunched. Non-executive chairman Jim McCarthy has acquired 135,000 shares at 39.3p each. Equity Development forecasts a rise in earnings per share from 5.4p to 5.6p, while dividend per share should rise from 2.7p to 2.8p.
Trading in Blockchain Worldwide (BLOC) shares has been suspended ahead of a proposed acquisition of Chorum Group.
Shareholders have agreed to Titon Holdings (TON) moving to AIM on 10 December.
Andrew Hore
Brand CEO Alan Green discusses Strat Aero #AERO, GBGI #GBGI, Andalas Energy #ADL & #ECR Minerals on Vox Markets podcast
Brand CEO Alan Green discusses Strat Aero #AERO, GBGI #GBGI, Andalas Energy & Power #ADL & ECR Minerals #ECR with Justin Waite on the Vox Markets Podcast. Interview is 21 minutes 25 seconds in.
Buy GBGI says VectorVest: The Insurance Group Continues to Trade at a Discount Despite Substantial Progress at the Half Year
Guernsey based GBGI (GBGI.L) is a leading integrated provider of international benefits insurance, operating globally across over 120 jurisdictions. Trading principally as “The Global Benefits Group” or “GBG”, the Group distributes and underwrites health, life and disability, and travel insurance, with a client base that spans multinational corporations, expatriates, local HNWIs, international schools, non-profit organisations and international students. GBGI is a fully integrated insurance group providing services from policy sales to claims administration and servicing and is committed to delivering high levels of customer service.
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On August 10th 2018, GBGI published a trading update in advance of interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2018. GBGI reported continued growth in the business across its diversified product and regional footprint during H1 2018, recording year over year growth (adjusted for the Group’s exit from the Angolan market in 2017) in gross written premium as compared to the same period in CY 2017. GBGI said it anticipates that GWP and underlying net income (adjusted for certain one-off non-recurring expenses) for the year to 31 Dec 2018 will be broadly in line with initial expectations. CEO Bob Dubrish said GBGI had made a strong start to the third quarter…”and we are confident in our business model and that we are making good progress on our 2018 initiatives.”
Since May 2018, VectorVest members will have noted progress on the key RT (Relative Timing) and RV (Relative Value) metrics for GBGI. The RT metric, (a fast, smart indicator or a stock price trend) moved sharply higher in mid-July in line with the subsequent share price moves, and today logs the stock at 1.47 – excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. The RV metric, (an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential) again has moved sharply higher to register at 1.36, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. And at 18%, GBGI’s GRT (Earnings Growth Rate) metric is also rated as very good by VectorVest . At 104p, GBGI trades at a discount to the current VectorVest valuation of 135p.
The chart of GBGI.L is shown above over the past 10 months of trading. Earnings per share (EPS) is shown by the blue line study in the window below the price. EPS has grown by 30% over this period. Over the past three months the share has bottomed out and charted a double bottom at the 80p level. The share has broken upwards through a trendline defining the fall in the share price from January to May 2018. The share is on a Buy recommendation on VectorVest since the start of August 2018.
Summary: On the face of it, some investors may look past insurance group GBGI in favour of more exciting and dynamic growth companies with cutting edge technology. To do so would mean missing out on a highly investible proposition, offering cash generation, a solid management team and a decent 4.5% dividend yield. As the VectorVest stock selection system has shown time and time again, small companies such as GBGI can grow to become large companies that go on to form the backbone of many an investment portfolio. GBGI shares have delivered a sharp recovery since last week’s trading statement, and might just go onto become one of the stock market successes of 2018. Buy
Dr David Paul
August 15th 2018
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Quoted Micro 27 February 2017
NEX EXCHANGE
Capital for Colleagues (CFCP) says that one of its employee-owned investee business FJ Holdings has sold its businesses and been placed in administration. Capital for Colleagues had not been kept up to date with these moves. The loans to FJ and its subsidiary Ham Baker Adams plus the FJ share stake were valued at £1.3m at the end of November 2016, which included a £790,000 valuation for the share stake. That investment is equivalent to one-quarter of Capital for Colleagues’ NAV, suggesting a pro forma NAV of about 40.5p a share if the investment is completely written off. That is well below the current share price.
Ace Liberty & Stone (ALSP) says that the £3.55m sale of Hume House in Leeds announced in January 2016 has not been completed. Hume House was acquired for £1.67m in March 2014 and annual rental income is £188,000. Ace has raised £4.55m from the sale of Bridge House in Luton, which was acquired for £2.75m in November 2014, and been occupied by HM Revenue & Customs for more than three decades.
Middle East-focused investment vehicle Indigo Holdings (INGO) has made its first investment ten days after it joined NEX on 10 February. There was net cash of £818,000 at the time of flotation and €176,800 (£150,000) was spent on a 5% stake in Iranian car ride sharing app Carvanro. Indigo believes that the growing younger population in Iran will be receptive to the service. The app was launched in mid-2016 and registered users and completed rides are growing month-on-month.
Queros Capital Partners (QCP) has issued an additional £960,000 (£950,400 net) of 8% bonds 2025. That takes the bonds in issue to £2.625m. The cash will initially be used to provide bridging loans as Queros seeks to acquire social housing projects in the longer term. NQ Minerals (NQMI) has raised a further £82,000, having raised £128,750 at 0.8p a share last week. IMC Exploration (IMCP) has issued 2.5 million shares at 1p each to pay for professional fees and converted a Wilhan loan note into 3.2 million shares at 2p each. .
Peterhouse has replaced Grant Thornton as corporate adviser to Chinese medical products and services provider MiLOC Group (ML.P). Director Dennis Ow has satisfied a HK$500,000 loan by transferring 177,353 shares previously pledged as collateral, taking his stake to 0.44%.
Impact investing company Menhaden Capital (MHN) has decided to delist from the NEX Exchange Main Board in order to reduce costs but retain its premium listing on the London Stock Exchange.
AIM
Fishing tackle and products retailer Fishing Republic (FISH) is on course to increase pre-tax profit from £305,000 to £404,000 in 2016. Year-on-year revenues were 40% ahead, suggesting a figure of around £5.8m. A new store was opened in Mildenhall at the end of 2016 and another in Milton Keynes in January 2017. Two more, in Reading and Ipswich, are planned before the end of the fourth quarter. These stores will all be ready for the 2017 fishing season. Online sales have fallen but a greater proportion of them are direct through the company’s website which has improved gross margin. Last year’s share issue has diluted earnings per share but investing the cash in new stores will help to compensate for that. The 2016 figures will be published before the end of April.
Software robotics company Blue Prism (PRSM) says that its revenues were strong in the first quarter and it already expects full year revenues to be well ahead of expectations.
North Italy-based gas producer Saffron Energy (SRON) joined AIM on 24 January and ended the day at 7.38p. Saffron raised £2.5m at 5p a share. The cash will finance the development of three gas fields.
Gold recovery services and mining company Goldplat (GDP) increased its revenues in the first half even though gold sales were lower due to delays in selling gold from the Ghana plant, which did not get the required licence to sell the gold until the end of the period. The gold has been sold in the second half. First half revenues were still higher because of a 15% rise in the gold price achieved and currency movements. There was still £885,000 in the bank at the end of 2016. A full year pre-tax profit of £1.94m is forecast as the benefits from the investment in the Kilimapesa gold mine start to show through. Further capital investment will be required for the Kenyan mine and the gold recovery activities.
Conygar Investment Company (CIC) is selling its investment property portfolio to Regional Commercial Midco, which is owned by Regional REIT, for £129.8m – a few hundred thousand pounds ahead of its book valuation. Regional REIT will issue 26.3 million shares at 106.347p a share and assume bank debt and repayment of zero dividend preference shares. Shareholders will have to approve the transaction. Conygar will be able to focus on its development assets.
Vernalis (VER) made further progress in building sales of the Tuzistra cough treatment in the first few months of the cough season. In the six months to December 2016, revenues were one-third higher at £800,000 and the second half could be stronger. Growth in Tuzistra sales was not enough to offset declines elsewhere and total revenues fell from £6.1m to £5.6m. There could be two additional cough treatments on sale next year if the FDA approvals are achieved. Net cash was £74.2m at the end of 2016.
Security technology and services supplier Synectics (SNX) reported a 4% rise in revenues to £70.9m last year but higher margin gaming contracts meant that there was a sharp bounce back in profit. Net cash was £2.17m at the end of November 2016. This year’s underlying pre-tax profit is expected to grow from £2.6m to £3m, although this represents slower growth than originally expected.
Cairn is resigning as nominated adviser to CloudTag Inc (CTAG) on 10 April but the company has managed to raise £975,000 at 3.75p a share via Novum Securities at a cost of £58,500. Trading in the shares was subsequently suspended pending an announcement. CloudTag will need to find another nominated adviser to continue on AIM.
International benefits insurance provider GBGI Ltd (GBGI) joined AIM on 22 February when it was valued at £130.4m at 150p a share. The share price was unchanged at the end of the week. GBGI intends to pay a dividend equivalent to 60% of distributable profit.
Stellar Diamonds (STEL) is raising £324,500 from a placing at 5.5p a share and up to £250,000 from an open offer at the same price. Once the placing is completed the shares will return from suspension. The cash will help to pay creditors and be used to progress the Tonguma project in Sierra Leone. Further cash will be required.
Timber processing and renewable energy business Active Energy (AEG) is in discussions to acquire further timber assets in North America and Europe. AEG WoodFibre generated lower revenues in 2016 because of weak demand from MDF manufacturers in Turkey after the coup. A new softwood processing plant should be up and running in April. The CoalSwitch division will be the main focus of growth this year.
SigmaRoc (SRC) says that its maiden acquisition Ronez has been integrated more quickly than it expected. The new systems should be up and running by the end of April and the back office systems budget should be halved. January sales volumes were ahead of budget and the first quarter order book is strong for the Channel Islands-based construction materials supplier. SigmaRoc has secured a £2m revolving credit facility from Santander and a £18m term facility is being negotiated. These two facilities will last until 2021.
Northland has increased its profit forecasts for online gaming marketing business Veltyco Group (VLTY). The 2016 pre-tax profit estimate has been raised from €1.35m to €1.99m, which is in line with the recent trading statement. The 2017 profit forecast has been raised from €3.18m to €4.27m and for 2018 from €4.21m to €5.44m.
Savannah Resources (SAV) has raised £2.24m at 5.25p a share and it has letters of intent for a further £1.01m from the chairman and a major investor, Al Marjan, which will maintain its stake at 29.9%. Savannah has reduced its full year loss from £3.1m to £1.8m and there was £700,000 left in the bank at the end of 2016. This year Savannah expects to complete the scoping study for the Mutamba heavy mineral sands project in Mozambique, where it has signed a consortium agreement with Rio Tinto, and start mining copper in Oman. Savannah is also defining drill targets for Lithium in Finland.
Premier African Minerals (PREM) is on course to get production restarted at the RHA tungsten mine. Underground mining contract terms have been agreed with delivery of up to 16,000 tonnes of ore each month.
Edenville Energy (EDL) has raised £2m at 0.8p a share, with every two new shares eligible for a warrant exercisable at 1.08p a share over the next 18 months. The cash will be used to acquire capital equipment and finance other costs of developing the Rukwa coal project in Tanzania. Commercial mining should begin by the end of the first quarter of 2017. Edenville has relinquished its uranium prospecting licence to concentrate on Rukwa.
MAIN MARKET
Small company-focused investment company Athelney Trust (ATY) has increased its dividend by 8.8% to 8.6p a share, although NAV growth was more modest at 2.5%. Last year, Athelney did not do as well as AIM or the FTSE Fledgling index which each grew by around 15%. Athelney is more exposed to the commercial property market than AIM or the Fledgling index. Property shares were hit by the EU referendum and did not clawback their falls by the end of the year. Athelney takes a long-term view and it has still outperformed AIM since 2005. The focus remains companies that are steadily growing profitability and dividends. Realised capital gains were £294,000 in 2016, helped by takeovers of Premier Farnell, UK Mail and Wireless. A stake was acquired in Lavendon last year and that is being taken over. The NAV was 251.1p a share at the end of 2016. Having raised £407,000 at 233.2p a share last April, Athelney still had invested most of the cash and had £59,000 left in the bank – slightly higher than a year earlier. The NAV had slipped to 250.4p a share by the end of January.
Standard listed and TSX Venture Capital Market-quoted Zenith Energy (ZEN) is selling its operations in Argentina so that it can concentrate on its operations in Italy and Azerbaijan. Production was suspended in 2015 because a storage tank owned by the state oil company collapsed so oil could not be transported. The operations are being sold for a nominal sum because investment is required and the buyers are taking on environmental responsibilities.
Standard list shell Sealand Capital Galaxy Ltd (SCGL) is acquiring SecureCom Group for 10 million shares and £1m in cash. Sealand had £600,000 in cash at the end of June 2016 and it is raising a further £1.4m (1.27m net of expenses) at 20p a share. The November 2015 flotation price was 10p. SecureCom also brings cash with it and pro forma cash is £3.26m and there is subscription money owed to the company of £8.58m. The pro forma NAV is 3.87m because of the heavy losses incurred by SecureCom, which has spent large amounts on sales and marketing of its instant messaging and communications products n the Asia Pacific region.
Andrew Hore